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Feasibility Market Map & Supply / Demand Report

Executive Recruiter, Google Cloud

Data-verified candidate pool · Criteria-scored · Google ERT · Boulder, CO · July 2026
✅ VERDICT · PROCEED — 172 Shortlisted, 67 Excellent
Candidates Scored
458
Functional Shortlist (≥45%)
172
Strong Match (≥60%)
104
Excellent (≥75%)
67
Best Match
93.3%
Mean Score
36%
CONFIDENTIAL · For Internal Use Only · RecruiterDNA Search Intelligence
172
Functional Shortlist (≥45%)
37.6% of scored pool. 67 excellent at ≥75%.
93.3%
Match-% Ceiling
7 candidates at 93% — tech ERT + retained search
~25%
Recruiter Competition
Agency postings as % of active demand (estimated)
$136K–$197K
Client Comp vs Market
Competitive — Google RSUs are the differentiator

Market Map 0 · Feasibility Snapshot

Data-verified from 458 candidates scored against 5 criteria. Supply-side pipeline completed July 11, 2026.

172
Functional Shortlist
≥45% match — the working pipeline
104
Strong Match
≥60% match — priority outreach
67
Excellent
≥75% match — top tier

5 QUESTIONS SCORECARD Data-Verified

#QuestionAnswerSignal
1Pool Size458 identified, 172 shortlisted (≥45%), 104 strong (≥60%)🟢
2Demand~1,200–1,800 active postings (estimated — Core Signal credits depleted)🟡
3Recruiter Competition~25% agency postings, no same-brief overlap🟢
4Comp$136K–$197K base + equity — competitive for Boulder🟢
5FeasibilityGO — 172 shortlisted, 67 excellent, viable pipeline🟢
⚠️ NOTEDemand-side data is estimated. Core Signal credits were depleted during record fetch, so employer classification and recruiter competition percentages are from web-sampled data. Posting volume (4,871 unique IDs across 5 variants) is actual. Employer concentrations below are from live candidate data (Supabase), not job postings.

Talent Supply · Live Candidate Data

458 candidates scored from proprietary sourcing indexes. Employer concentration from current work history. All data verified July 11, 2026.

SCORE DISTRIBUTION 458 Candidates

218
0–29%
68
30–44%
68
45–59%
37
60–74%
67
75–100%

218 candidates scored below 30% — mostly university recruiters and junior profiles with 0 YOE captured by broad queries. The functional pipeline starts at ≥45% (172 candidates).

TOP 10 CANDIDATES By Match Score

ScoreNameTitleCompanyYOE
93%Nichole KanterSr. Principal Executive RecruiterTwilio12.3
93%Jake ZerbePrincipal Executive RecruiterAurora22.2
93%Aditi ChaudhuriSr. Principal Executive Talent LeaderAirbnb20.2
93%Kendall MessnerGlobal Head, Executive & Strategic TAUST33.5
93%Dave HillPrincipalBlue Sky Exec Search26.0
92%Ann Nethery-JakkaExecutive RecruiterAJ Search23.9
92%Hadlee CokerSr. Executive Talent SourcerIntuit9.5
88%Tricia CliffordExecutive Recruiter, Financial OfficersSpencer Stuart23.5
88%Patrick SantiniSenior Executive RecruiterZeal Talent Ventures9.1
87%Tony BushConsultant, Executive RecruitingWD25.2

TOP LOCATIONS Where Candidates Live

Denver, CO
35
#1
Seattle, WA
32
Chicago, IL
29
SF Bay Area
28
New York, NY
25
Austin, TX
23

Denver leads at 35 candidates — strong local pipeline for Boulder requirement. National coverage across all major tech hubs.

Tenure Lens · How Constraints Affect the Pool

Tenure and geographic sensitivity analysis. This is the single highest-leverage calibration conversation with the hiring manager.

Current Pool: All 458 Scored

MetricValue
Total Candidates458
Shortlist (≥45%)172
Strong (≥60%)104
Excellent (≥75%)67

Boulder + 3yr Tenure (Est.)

MetricValue
Est. Qualified Pool~15–30
Pool Depth RiskCRITICAL
Denver area candidates35 (all score levels)

DELTA TABLE Constraint Impact

DimensionAll CandidatesBoulder Only + 3yr TenureDelta
Addressable Pool458~15–30−93–97%
Shortlist (≥45%)172~5–12−93–97%
Strong (≥60%)104~3–8−92–97%
Excellent (≥75%)67~2–5−93–97%
RECOMMENDATIONSource nationally; screen for relocation. The Boulder-only constraint reduces the pool by ~93% at every score tier. Denver has 35 candidates total across all scores — likely fewer than 10 at ≥45% with 3+ yr tenure. Relax the tenure preference and source nationally. The tenure preference is the #1 calibration conversation to have with Priya and Jordan.

Criteria Reality · Fit Analysis

Per-criterion pass rates across all 458 scored candidates. Identifies the universal breaker and the screening instruction that matters most.

SCORE DISTRIBUTION

104
Strong Match (≥60%)
Priority outreach tier
93.3%
Match-% Ceiling
7 candidates at 93%
36%
Mean Score
Weighted average across all 458

CRITERIA MATRIX 5 Must-Have Slots

#CriterionTierWeight
1VP+ Executive Search Closuremust_have20
2Technology Sector Depthmust_have18
3Full Lifecycle Search Ownershipmust_have15
4Research Partner Collaborationmust_have12
5Executive Compensation Fluencymust_have10

THE GAP What the Data Says

KEY INSIGHTMean score of 36% reflects pool quality, not scoring failure. The broad Exa queries captured many university recruiters, junior sourcers, and non-tech profiles (218 scored below 30%). The 67 candidates at ≥75% are genuine fits — Twilio, Airbnb, Aurora, Spencer Stuart, Intuit. The universal breaker appears to be VP+ Executive Search Closure combined with Technology Sector Depth — most low scorers fail both. Screening instruction: verify VP+ closures in tech before first call.

DISQUALIFIERS Automatic Knockouts

DQTrigger
DQ-1Currently at Google
DQ-2Non-tech exclusive background
DQ-3No internal TA — pure agency
DQ-4Sourcing-only — no VP+ closures
DQ-5<3 yrs in tech sector

Supply & Demand Report

RecruiterDNA Intel Panel · July 2026 · Data-Verified

1. CURRENT ACTIVE DEMAND

4,871
Posting IDs (Archive)
5 title variants, US-wide
~1,200–1,800
Est. Active (30–60 Day)
Estimated from index volume

Direct employers (est.): ~60% · Agencies: ~25% · Job boards: ~15%

Demand classification estimated — Core Signal record-level fetch unavailable (credits depleted).

2. RECRUITER COMPETITION

MetricValue
Search firm share~25%
ConcentrationMEDIUM
Same-brief overlapPARTIAL — Google Cloud Atlanta posting
VERDICTModerate density, low direct competition. Firms are hiring for their own roles, not working this search.

3. VELOCITY

STABLEGoogle (Atlanta), GE Vernova (June 2026), EchoStar (July 2026) actively hiring. No surge, no contraction.

4. COMP BENCHMARKS

SourceBase RangeTotal Comp
Google (Client)$136K–$197K~$200K–$280K w/ equity
GE Vernova$122K–$204K+ bonus
Levels.fyi Google L5$243K median
Levels.fyi Google L6$299K median
EchoStar (CO local)$72K–$119K

5. VERDICT

Feasibility Assessment

🟢
Pool: 172 shortlisted (≥45%), 104 strong, 67 excellent. Viable pipeline.
🟡
Demand: Moderate (~1,200–1,800 active). Estimated — credit limitation.
🟢
Competition: Medium density (~25%), no direct same-brief overlap.
🟢
Comp: Competitive. Google equity is the differentiator.
🟡
Risk: Boulder geo + tenure preferences reduce pool ~93%. Source nationally.
✅ GO — 172 Shortlisted, Viable Pipeline

Data verified from supply-side sourcing pipeline. 458 candidates scored against 5 criteria. July 11, 2026.

Outreach Funnel Simulator

Interactive sourcing funnel — click any blue percentage to override. Pre-loaded with 172 shortlist pool. Reverse-calculates workload from target hires.

StageRateCountDropVolume
Phase
Supply
Outreach
Process
Close
Email · Senior IC · 77% open · 13% reply. Click any blue rate to edit.
● Messages to Send
to hit target hires
● Screens to Complete
recruiter screens needed
● Client Submittals
to generate offers
Pool is adequate
Pool Available
Email: RecruiterDNA actuals — 77% open, 10.1% reply (1.1k sent) · Screen passthrough: 35% (Ashby 2026) · Offer acceptance: 85% (Ashby 2026)

Talent Operations Addendum

Criteria architecture, methodology, and data provenance.

CRITERIA ARCHITECTURE

#CriterionTierWeight
1VP+ Executive Search Closuremust_have20
2Technology Sector Depthmust_have18
3Full Lifecycle Search Ownershipmust_have15
4Research Partner Collaborationmust_have12
5Executive Compensation Fluencymust_have10

Scoring math: contribution = weight × score (pass=1.0, partial=0.5, fail=0.0). Overall = sum(contributions) / sum(weights) × 100.

METHODOLOGY

Demand-Side
5 Core Signal title variant searches (4,871 unique IDs). Record-level fetch unavailable (credits depleted). Employer classification estimated from web sampling.
Comp Data
Multi-source: Levels.fyi (Google recruiter bands), Glassdoor (NYC), Pin/PayScale, direct employer postings (GE Vernova, EchoStar).
Data Freshness
Candidate data: July 11, 2026. Job posting data: July 10, 2026. Comp benchmarks: May–July 2026.
RecruiterDNA Search Intelligence · Confidential · For Internal Use Only
Candidate data captured July 2026. Talent data is perishable; re-validate after 60 days.